Tag Archives: Hemas Holdings Plc

US bond rate increase good for CSE; not so much for local bonds

FIRST CAPITAL’S  SENIOR RESEARCH ANALYST ATCHUTHAN SRIRANGAN, SPEAKS TO THE SUNDAY TIMES

Foreigners rally in cash at CSE

Despite being one of the poorest performing markets in the region, Sri Lanka’s stock market which has been in the doldrums has attracted a lot of foreign buying interest since of late.

This heavy investor participation stems mainly from the rate increase in the US bond market. While the rates going up is seeing foreign funds shifting back to the US from frontier markets such as Sri Lanka, a small component of their corresponding funds which invest in stock markets  are being ploughed into the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE), analysts say.

There has been continuous foreign selling in local bonds and as at January 1, 2017 it was US$ 2 million.  The new regime under Donald Trump is trying to strengthen the US Dollar and luring back  funds  to the US.

Atchuthan Srirangan, Senior Research Analyst First Capital Equities noted that on the back of all this, this month’s foreign inflow at CSE was Rs. 600 million as at February 8. Mr. Srirangan said that in the year to date the total foreign participation so far is more than 50 per cent of CSE’s turnover, while for the same period last year it’s 38 per cent.

But why put cash in the CSE? 

That’s due to most shares at the CSE trading at 4x their price to Earnings Ratio (PER) which has made these bargain counters for foreign investors. Foreign fund managers say that CSE is a good investment this year owing to superior earnings projections, low valuations and the potential for better earnings.

From January 1 to 8 February, foreigners bought Rs. 7.67 billion and sold Rs. 8.63 billion. While the net outflow is Rs. 1.026 billion, analysts note that some foreign selling was done to foreigners themselves.

Analysts say that a considerable foreign play was done by Norway’s $830 billion sovereign wealth fund, locally managed by Lynear Wealth Management. The fund has been increasing its focus on emerging countries but only has about 4 per cent of its assets managed externally.   Negotiated deals were recorded in many counters early this month – mostly blue chips and mid-caps bought by foreign funds — Hatton National Bank (0.7 million shares at Rs. 227) and Commercial Bank (0.2 million shares at RS. 145). The aggregate value of crossings accounted for 45 per cent of the turnover. Subsequent to its scrip dividend announcement, Sampath Bank attracted high investor preference where stock price increased to Rs. 267 up by 0.8 per cent.

On February 2, foreign investors stood on the ‘buy’ side with a net foreign inflow of Rs. 90 million. Net foreign inflows were seen in Commercial Bank at Rs. 29 million, Sampath at Rs. 29 million, Melstacorp at Rs. 17 million while net foreign outflows was mainly seen in Seylan Bank (Rs. 5 million). Foreign participation was 66 per cent.

Hemas Holdings saw 2.8 million shares crossed at Rs. 104 on February 2. Its main buyer in 3Q17 was Morgan Stanley and Co: International PLC. But Franklin Templeton Investment Funds had reduced its position in Hemas during the same period.

Overseas Realty Rights Issue saw a 24 per cent acquisition by Jilansu Tao Shing Pee Education Foundation on February 3. Foreign investors were net buyers with a new foreign inflow of Rs. 27 million on this day and net foreign inflows were mainly seen in Sampath Bank Rs. 35 million, Melstacorp Rs. 13 million and Tokyo Cement non-voting Rs. 12 million. That following Monday foreign investor activity accounted for 47 per cent of the turnover.

The day after foreign investors stood on the ‘buy’ side with a net foreign inflow of Rs. 111 million. Net foreign inflows were seen in John Keells Holdings (JKH) Rs. 51 million, Hemas Holdings Rs. 30 million, and Nestle Rs. 28 million while net foreign outflow was mainly seen in National Development Bank Rs. 4 million. Foreign participation was 52 per cent that day. On February 8 foreign investors were net buyers with a net foreign inflow of Rs. 152 million. Net foreign inflows were seen in JKH (Rs. 103 million), Sampath Bank (Rs. 49 million) and Melstacorp (Rs. 10 million). Net foreign outflow was mainly seen in Hatton National Bank (Rs. 17 million). Foreign participation was 33 per cent.

On February 13, foreign investors were net buyers with a net foreign inflow of Rs. 333.33 million foreign participation was 61 per cent. Let’s hope this trend co continues.

 

The comments on this report are provided by the Capital Markets Research Unit of First Capital Holdings PLC an investment bank in Sri Lanka.

The company operates in the capital markets of Sri Lanka in government securities – treasury bills and bonds, stock brokering and share market investments, asset management, private wealth management,  retirement planning, personal financial planning, unit trust, margin trading, capital market research, trustee services, corporate finance advisory services including corporate debt structuring (debentures, trust certificates, commercial papers), valuations, restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs) and project advisory.

The First Capital Group consists of First Capital Treasuries PLC, First Capital Limited, First Capital Markets Limited, First Capital Asset Management Limited and First Capital Equities (Private) Limited covering Colombo, Negombo, Matara, Kandy and Kurunegala.

Sri Lankan shares recover from 10-mth closing low on bargain-hunting

FIRST CAPITAL’S HEAD OF RESEARCH, DIMANTHA MATHEW, SPEAKS TO REUTERS.

Sri Lankan shares rose on Tuesday, recovering from a more than 10-month closing low hit in the previous session, as investors picked up battered blue chips after the central bank held its key policy rates steady, brokers said.

However, concerns over rising market interest rates continued to weigh on sentiment, they added.

The central bank kept its key rates steady for a sixth straight month, but flagged possible “corrective measures” in the months ahead in a sign further tightening might be on the cards to temper inflation pressures and safeguard a fragile rupee.

The Colombo stock index ended 0.4 percent firmer at 6,093.04, snapping two consecutive sessions of declines.

Bargain-hunting was seen in the later part of the session with investors picking up blue chips, said Dimantha Mathew, head of research at First Capital Equities (Pvt) Ltd.

Sri Lankan stocks, which have been declining since October, have been hurt by political uncertainty arising from a decision of the ruling coalition parties to contest local polls separately, and on worries over a rise in market interest rates.

Yields on treasury bills rose 2-8 basis points at a weekly auction on Tuesday.

Market turnover was 500.4 million rupees ($3.33 million), less than this year’s daily average of 620.7 million rupees.

Foreign investors, who have been net sellers of 1.18 billion rupees worth of shares so far this year, net bought 110.6 million rupees worth of equities on Tuesday.

Shares of John Keells Holdings Plc rose 1.20 percent, Nestle Lanka Plc gained 2.56 percent and Sri Lanka Telecom Plc climbed 3.53 percent.  Hemas Holdings Plc gained 2.92 percent, Dialog Axiata Plc climbed 0.96 percent and Ceylon Tobacco Company Plc rose 0.36 percent.

 

($1 = 150.4000 Sri Lankan rupees)

(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu)

 

The comments on this report are provided by the Capital Markets Research Unit of First Capital Holdings PLC an investment bank in Sri Lanka.

The company operates in the capital markets of Sri Lanka in government securities – treasury bills and bonds, stock brokering and share market investments, asset management, private wealth management,  retirement planning, personal financial planning, unit trust, margin trading, capital market research, trustee services, corporate finance advisory services including corporate debt structuring (debentures, trust certificates, commercial papers), valuations, restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs) and project advisory.

The First Capital Group consists of First Capital Treasuries PLC, First Capital Limited, First Capital Markets Limited, First Capital Asset Management Limited and First Capital Equities (Private) Limited covering Colombo, Negombo, Matara, Kandy and Kurunegala.

 

Sri Lankan shares end flat as policy uncertainty continues to weigh

FIRST CAPITAL’S HEAD OF RESEARCH, DIMANTHA MATHEW, SPEAKS TO REUTERS.

cse

Sri Lankan shares were little changed on Monday after hitting a nine-month low last week as uncertainty over the government’s monetary and budget policies continued to weigh on the market.

But foreign investors were net buyers on Monday for a second session after five straight sessions of net-selling through Thursday.

They bought a net 152.7 million rupees ($1.02 million) worth of equities on Monday, the highest since Dec. 8. However, foreign investors have been net sellers to the tune of 817.03 million rupees so far this year.

The Colombo stock index ended 0.04 percent up at 6,155.52, slightly above the lowest since April hit on Thursday. Last week the index fell 0.64 percent and was down 9.7 percent for 2016, its second straight annual decline.   The day’s turnover was at 843.6 million rupees.

“Net foreign inflow is a good sign and it will help regain the lost confidence,” said Dimantha Mathew, head of research at First Capital Equities (Pvt) Ltd.

Yields on treasury bill auctions rose 5-6 basis points at a weekly auction on Wednesday, a day after the central bank governor signalled reduced intervention to defend the currency.

Shares in Hemas Holdings Plc rose 1.9 percent, while Teejay Lanka Plc gained 3.69 percent and Ceylon Tobacco Company Plc added 0.33 percent.

($1 = 149.6000 Sri Lankan rupees)

(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal and Shihar Aneez; Editing by Amrutha Gayathri)

Sri Lanka shares fall; foreign selling inches close to 1 bln rupees

FIRST CAPITAL’S HEAD OF RESEARCH, DIMANTHA MATHEW, SPEAKS TO REUTERS.

Sri Lankan shares fell for a fifth straight session and ended at a nine-month low on Thursday as foreign investors continued to sell shares, offloading close to one billion rupees worth of stocks in the first four sessions of the new year.

Foreign investors sold a net 181.7 million rupees ($1.22 million) worth of equities on Thursday, extending the net outflow in the first four trading sessions of the year to 996.6 million rupees.

Worries over a weakening rupee, rising interest rates and continued foreign selling in index heavyweight John Keells Holdings Plc also weighed on the sentiment.

The Colombo stock index ended 0.09 percent down at 6,147.52, its lowest close since April 4. The bourse fell 9.7 percent in 2016, its second straight annual decline.

cse-board

The index has been trading in the oversold territory since Tuesday with 14-day relative strength index breaking below 30, Thomson Reuters data showed. A level between 30 and 70 indicates the market is neutral.

Conglomerate John Keells, which saw net foreign selling of 2.34 million shares that accounted for 62 percent of the day’s turnover of 802.4 million rupees, ended 0.14 percent lower.  Talks of a high net worth foreign investor exiting from Keells has triggered panic selling, dealers said.

“Foreign selling in Keells is still continuing and that has brought the market down,” said Dimantha Mathew, head of research, First Capital Equities (Pvt) Ltd.  Analysts said interest rate volatility and policy uncertainties are also hurting investor sentiment.

Yields on treasury bill auctions rose 5-6 basis points at a weekly auction on Wednesday, a day after the central bank governor signalled less intervention to defend the currency as market has braced for a depreciation.

Shares in Hemas Holdings Plc dropped 2.20 percent while biggest listed lender Commercial Bank of Ceylon Plc lost 0.77 percent.

($1 = 149.4000 Sri Lankan rupees)

(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal and Shihar Aneez; Editing by Vyas Mohan)

Sri Lanka shares fall for 8th session; tax proposals weigh

First Capital’s Head of Research, Dimantha Mathew, speaks to Reuters

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Sri Lankan shares extended falls to an eighth session on Wednesday, posting their lowest close since April 7, as investor sentiment was hit by budget tax proposals, including revisions in corporate and withholding taxes.

The government aims to boost its 2017 tax revenue by 27 percent to 1.82 trillion rupees year-on-year, and meet a commitment given to the International Monetary Fund in return for a $1.5 billion loan in May.

The benchmark index of the Colombo Stock Exchange ended down 0.21 percent at 6,242.68. It has fallen 2.77 percent over the past eight sessions after the budget was presented on Nov. 10.  The index was in oversold territory, with the 14-day relative strength index at 15.978 versus Tuesday’s 16.929, Thomson Reuters data showed. A level between 30 and 70 indicates the market is neutral.

“Market is down in low trade as investors are on wait-and-see mode,” said Dimantha Mathew, head of research at First Capital Equities (Pvt) Ltd.

Foreign investors sold a net 100.7 million rupees ($678,571.43) worth of shares on Wednesday, extending the year-to-date net foreign outflow to 1.27 billion rupees.

Analysts said the increase in various taxes and fees would reduce disposable income and challenge consumption-led growth.  Turnover was 284.9 million rupees, well below this year’s daily average of 698.6 million rupees.

Shares of Lion Brewery Plc fell 6.81 percent, while Hemas Holdings Plc declined 5.00 percent and Ceylon Tobacco Company Plc fell 1.24.

($1 = 148.4000 Sri Lankan rupees)

(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal; Editing by Sunil Nair)