Investment in Sri Lanka

Sri Lankan shares fall to 1-yr closing low, rate review in focus

FIRST CAPITAL’S HEAD OF RESEARCH, DIMANTHA MATHEW, SPEAKS TO REUTERS

Thu Mar 23, 2017

Sri Lankan shares fell for a second straight session on Thursday to a more than one-year closing low as expectations of an interest rate hike continued to drag down the market ahead of the central bank’s monetary policy review.

The Colombo stock index closed down 0.3 percent at 5,979.85, its lowest close since March 15, 2016. The index breached a key psychological barrier of 6,000 in the previous session.

“There are no buyers as most of the local investors are on the sidelines awaiting the outcome of the policy review,” said Dimantha Mathew, head of research, First Capital Equities (Pvt) Ltd.

Sri Lanka’s central bank could raise its key policy rates in the coming months if it skips a chance to tighten at its second monetary policy review of the year on Friday, a Reuters poll showed, two weeks after the International Monetary Fund called for further tightening.

Analysts said investors expected a rate hike.

Turnover stood at 616.4 million rupees ($4.1 million), less than this year’s daily average of 671 million rupees.

The index has lost 2.1 percent since March 7, when the IMF called for monetary policy tightening if credit growth or inflation do not abate.

The bourse dipped further into oversold territory on Thursday, with the 14-day relative strength index at 24.614 points versus Wednesday’s 26.758, Thomson Reuters data showed. A level between 30 and 70 indicates the market is neutral.

Foreign investors net bought shares worth 194 million rupees, raising the year-to-date net foreign inflow to 3.26 billion rupees in equities.

The treasury bill rates have risen between 33 to 77 basis points since July 28, when the central bank last raised the key interest rates.

Shares in Asian Hotel Properties Plc fell 2.9 percent, while Lanka ORIX Leasing Company Plc fell 0.8 percent and Sri Lanka Telecom Plc 0.9 percent.

($1 = 151.5000 Sri Lankan rupees)

(Reporting by Ranga Sirilal and Shihar Aneez; Editing by Amrutha Gayathri)

The comments on this report are provided by the Capital Markets Research Unit of First Capital Holdings PLC an investment bank in Sri Lanka.

The company operates in the capital markets of Sri Lanka in government securities – treasury bills and bonds, stock brokering and share market investments, asset management, private wealth management,  retirement planning, personal financial planning, unit trust, margin trading, capital market research, trustee services, corporate finance advisory services including corporate debt structuring (debentures, trust certificates, commercial papers), valuations, restructuring, mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs) and project advisory.

The First Capital Group consists of First Capital Treasuries PLC, First Capital Limited, First Capital Markets Limited, First Capital Asset Management Limited and First Capital Equities (Private) Limited covering Colombo, Negombo, Matara, Kandy and Kurunegala.